火热的全球经济下人力资源应该如何适应？The Red Hot Global Economy: How Should HR Adapt?
我们生活在有趣的时代。几十年来，全球经济第一次增长。失业率达到30年来的最低点，薪水开始上涨，雇主正在大力争夺一套新的技能。（根据LinkedIn的说法，“机器学习技能”现在是最热门的，在过去的五年中，这项工作的需求增加了近10倍。）
我们看到很多证据表明就业市场非常火爆。根据ADP最近的一项研究显示，美国近5％的员工每个月都会换工作，其中60％是自愿的。人们为什么换工作？对超过1400万名员工进行研究的ADP研究表示，头号问题是薪水。人们找到更高薪的职位，所以他们移动。
虽然这对经济有利，但对雇主而言将会越来越难。正如我记得2000年的“网络公关”时间（以及后来的崩溃），在这些高就业时期，就业市场变得竞争激烈，工资上涨，雇主必须更加努力地吸引技术熟练的人。如下图所示，这就是现在正在发生的事情。我们接近韩战以来没有看到的失业率。
首席执行官感到压力
这个问题现在已经到了董事会的空间。最新的会议董事会首席执行官研究表明，“寻找和留住人才”现在是首席执行官头脑中的首要问题。高管们担心组织能力，领导力，留存率和参与度以及他们的就业品牌。有需求技能的人（例如工程师，专家，销售人员等）开始表现得像电影明星一样：游说高薪，比较雇主彼此，并希望公司不断改善工作经验。
我刚刚参加了一家大型全球性公司的200强领导力活动，人们关心的第一个话题是如何吸引更多高潜力进入公司，发展领导力渠道，并计划随着自动化变革的发展而发生的技能和工作变化。首席执行官亲自要求每位经理“负责建立你的领导力管道”。
人力资源部门面临压力
我们人力资源部门正在处理这个问题。每个人力资源部门都在讨论就业品牌，员工敬业度和员工经验等主题。我们的全球客户之一已经开始为所有10万以上的人员开发“员工角色”，所有这些都旨在学习如何理解和改善公司各个层面的工作体验。
这些事情很重要。如果你的公司在社交媒体网站上没有得到很好的尊重或低评价，你现在发现招聘越来越困难。虽然业务可能很好，但在别的地方可能会更好。销售人员，工程师，科学家，产品专家甚至入门级员工倾向于转向发展速度更快的公司，往往让陷入困境的公司陷入波澜。
这种经济环境迫使我们改变人力资源的优先事项。在当今的经济环境中，我鼓励人力资源团队专注于生产力，参与度和留任率，现在是时候仔细审视您的奖励和附带福利。大多数公司正在制定福祉计划，他们正在实现工作环境的现代化，许多公司已实施免费午餐，免费晚餐，免费洗衣以及免费的健身和锻炼计划等项目。在硅谷，多年来对于员工福利的战争不断升级。如果你不提供美味的早餐，午餐（通常是晚餐），你根本无法吸引工程师。人们认为这些福利是他们报酬的一部分，他们比较他们工作中的食品成本。
在我的职业生涯中，我经历了几个这样的经济周期，而且我的经验表明，虽然许多员工留在原地，但是高潜力人员，创收人员以及经验丰富的领导者都有很多机会，所以我们必须仔细观察它们。
快速移动人员。扩大您对潜力的定义。
在这样的经济体中有很多事情需要考虑。一种是重新思考你的传统继任管理计划，并找到一种更持续提供增长和发展的方法。就像我们一直在实施持续绩效管理一样，组织现在需要提供更多的定期促销活动（我遇到的一家公司每年提供两次“半升级促销”），更多的发展任务以及比以往更多的学习机会。
过去我们每年坐下一次，试图弄清楚我们的几个“高潜力”（HIPO）是谁。今天我建议你重新设计整个过程，这样每个人都可以定期从增长中受益。
这是一个建议如何。在过去，我们一直将HIPO定义为“能够在公司内上升两级”的人。今天我建议至少有三种我们想要承认的领导类型：
商业领导力：可以“经营业务”或推动盈亏的人
技术领导：技术专家或可以领导技术团队的人员
团队或项目领导：可以领导项目，计划和计划的人员。
这极大地拓宽了您的领导力，几乎每个人都有机会发展壮大，并渴望获得更负责任，更有价值的职位。
图2：三种类型的领导者需要扩展的继任格子
我最近访问的一家客户是一家全球性医疗保健公司，他们的主要领导差距之一是发展“科学和临床领导者”。这些人不一定会成为首席执行官，但他们对业务至关重要 - 所以他们需要定期晋升，薪金审查和流动性。数字专家，分析专家，网络安全专家和其他需求技术人员属于同一类别。
在工作流程中提供学习
如果你不能经常宣传，请记住，保留的巨大动力是员工的“学习能力”。即使很难找到促销活动，当人们认为“这项工作真的把我带到某个地方”时，他们也会参与进来。这是创造学习环境，培养领导者成长思维的一个问题，并且给予人们不论其角色的学习文化。
虽然L＆D在过去几年一直是一个麻烦的行业（我们在2017年发现了一个负面的网络推动者评级），但我很高兴地说，现在解决这个问题相对容易，今年是投资于微型网络的一年，学习，学习体验平台，自我创作内容，视频学习以及我们几十年来一直在讨论的所有文化方面的知识，而且您实际上可以“在工作流程中”提供学习，使其更具相关性和可使用性比以往任何时候都要多。
人力资源准备好了吗？我相信是这样。
在过去的一年中，我一直在与世界上一些最具代表性的公司会面，他们的人力资源团队正在适应。今天，他们专注于职业管理，员工体验，更多创新奖励计划以及各种有趣的学习，数字生产力和福利策略。
让我们都在这里享受美好时光。是的，这个就业市场造成了很大的压力，但如果你专注于赋权，发展和引人入胜的核心 - 你的组织就能蓬勃发展。现在云层已经在地平线上了，所以我们享受阳光。
针对热门经济的五项人力资源战略。
1.关注就业品牌。
了解并研究候选人如何看待你的公司，并将这些信息反馈给首席执行官和高级商业领袖，以便推动管理层改进文化，参与度和工作环境。今天，您可以使用Glassdoor，LinkedIn，您自己的参与调查，脉搏调查，停留访谈，匿名调查以及大量其他聆听设备来了解您在市场中的感受。您应该尽可能申请“最佳工作场所”奖项，这也会提升您的游戏体验，并促使您改善工作体验。
2.保持当前的工资和福利。
现在我认为公司必须每六个月刷新一次奖励计划。每年的速度不够快。我曾经和那些给员工半年一次审查和加薪的公司谈过，即使这在某些情况下可能还不够。我们刚刚完成的研究表明，每年不止一次重新访问薪水和奖金的公司表现优于仅每年审核报酬的公司。并确保您的透明度：现在公布大量薪酬信息 - 所以您应该公布您的薪金基准，让员工充分披露您是否支付高于或低于平均水平（当然有充分的理由）。
3.建立一支专注于了解员工旅程的团队，并专注于端到端的员工体验。
这意味着从候选人到新员工到第一天，第一个月，第一季度，第一年，第一次促销等等。设计思维的概念现在已经被很好地理解，因此您需要使用它们来构建一种数字化的体验，以帮助人们在职业生涯中茁壮成长。最好的起点是有一个高转换率的员工团队（即通常是第一年的零售员工），这样你就可以获得一个良好的设计思维项目。然后，一旦你熟练掌握了它，你就可以为各种工作转变创造员工旅程，并寻找使他们变得更好的方法。在德勤，我们称之为“重要时刻”。
4.重新设计您的L＆D战略。
今年是2018年，采用微型学习策略的一年，更新您的LMS和工具，并深入了解“工作流程中的学习”的概念。我很快就会写更多内容 - 但让我提醒你，当人们觉得自己“没有学习”时，他们会离开公司。你可以解决这个问题。我们最近调查的公司中超过50％告诉我们，他们正在增加L＆D平台的预算。是时候了。顺便说一下，开始制定一个更好的职业管理工具的战略 - 这是人力资源技术中最热门的新部分，它将成为您工作未来自动化，人工智能和工作变革的保险。
5.保持首席执行官和高级领导的知情权。
确定你的分析计划，确保你知道技能，领导力，参与度和保留差距在哪里。
让首席执行官知道人才稀少 - 他或她会真正关心。如果您需要聘用更多招聘人员，投资新的开发计划，或从根本上改变工作模式以适应，您需要他们的帮助才能迅速动员。在竞争激烈的时期，首席执行官希望尽其所能帮助，所以要抓住机遇。（2018年会议委员会首席执行官研究称“缺乏关键技能”成为今天的首要业务挑战。）
最后：现在是时候调整您的人力资源战略，以应对以竞争为中心，以技能为中心的市场。调整你的招聘，专注于推动包容性和多元化的多元文化，并确保你的职业生涯管理和学习在前台。没有人知道这种经济繁荣将持续多久，但现在有一场人才争夺战，我们必须武装自己来应付它。
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关于作者：Josh Bersin是Deloitte，Deloitte Consulting LLP 的创始人和负责人 ，Deloitte Consulting LLP是一家领先的研究和咨询公司，专注于企业领导力，人才，学习以及工作与生活的交叉。
以上由AI翻译完成，供您参考。HRTechChina倾情奉献，转载请注明。
以下为英文：
We are living in interesting times. For the first time in decades the entire global economy is growing. Unemployment rates are reaching a 30 year low, salaries are beginning to rise, and employers are competing heavily for a new set of skills. (“Machine learning skills” are now the hottest according to LinkedIn, a job that has increased in demand by almost 10 times in the last five years.)
We see lots of evidence that the job market is red hot. According to a recent study by ADP, almost 5% of the US workforce now changes jobs every month, and 60% of this is voluntary. Why are people changing jobs? The ADP research, which studied more than 14 million employees, says the #1 issue is salary. People are finding higher paid positions so they move.
While this is all good for the economy, it will be increasingly hard on employers. As I remember during the year 2000 "dot-com" time (and later crash), during these periods of high employment the job market becomes hyper-competitive, salaries go up, and employers have to work harder to attract skilled people. As the chart below shows, this is what is happening now. We are nearing an unemployment rate not seen since the Korean War.
Fig 1: Unemployment Rate Near Record Low
CEOs Feel the Pinch
This issue has now reached the board room. The latest Conference Board CEO research shows that “finding and retaining talent” is now the #1 issue on the mind of CEOs. Executives are worried about organizational skills, their leadership pipeline, retention and engagement, and their employment brand. And people with in-demand skills (e.g. engineers, specialists, sales people, etc.) are starting to behave like movie stars: lobbying for high salaries, comparing employers against each other, and expecting companies to continuously improve the work experience.
I just attended a top 200 leadership event for a large global company and the #1 topic on peoples minds were how to attract more high-potentials into the company, grow the leadership pipeline, and plan for skill and job changes as automation changes work. The CEO personally asked each and every manager to "take responsibility for building your leadership pipeline."
The Pressure Is On for HR
We in HR are on the hook to deal with this issue. The topics of employment brand, employee engagement, and the employee experience are being discussed in every HR department. One of our global clients has embarked on a project to develop "employee personas" for all their 100,000+ people, all with the intention to learn how to understand and improve their work experience at every level in the company.
And these things matter. If your company is not well respected or has low ratings on social media websites, you are now finding it harder and harder to recruit. And while business may be good, it may be better somewhere else. Sales people, engineers, scientists, products specialists, and even entry level employees tend to move to faster growing companies, often leaving troubled companies in waves.
This economic environment is forcing us to change the priorities in HR. In today's economy I encourage HR teams to focus on productivity, engagement, and retention and it's now time to look carefully at your rewards and fringe benefits. Most companies are now building programs for well-being, they are modernizing the work environment, and many have implemented programs like free lunch, free dinner, free laundry, and free gym and exercise programs. Here in Silicon Valley, there has been an escalating war for employee benefits for years. If you don’t offer people a gourmet breakfast, lunch, (and often dinner) you simply cannot attract engineers. People consider these benefits a part of their compensation, and they compare the cost of food in their job offers.
I’ve been through several of these economic cycles in my career, and my experience shows that while many employees stay where they are, high-potentials, people in revenue-generating roles, and experienced leaders have lots of opportunities, so we have to watch them closely.
Move People Faster. Broaden Your Definition of Potential.
There are many things to think about in an economy like this. One is to rethink your traditional succession management program and find a way to offer growth and progression on a more continuous basis. Just like we have been implementing continuous performance management, organizations now need to offer more regular promotions (one company I met with offers "half-level promotions" twice per year), more developmental assignments, and more opportunities to learn than ever before.
In the past we sat down once a year and tried to figure out who our few "high-potentials" (HIPO) were. Today I'd suggest you re-engineer that entire process, so everyone can benefit from growth on a regular basis.
Here is a suggestion how. In the past we always defined a HIPO as someone who could "move up two levels in the company." Today I'd suggest there are at least three types of leadership we want to recognize:
Business leadership: people who can "run a business" or drive a P&L
Technical leadership: people who are technical experts or can lead technical teams
Team or Project leadership: people who can lead projects, initiatives, and programs.
This greatly broadens your leadership pipeline, and gives nearly everyone an opportunity to grow and aspire to a more responsible, rewarding position.
Fig 2: Three Types of Leaders Demand Expanded Succession Grids
A client I recently visited is a global healthcare company, and one of their key leadership gaps is developing "scientific and clinical leaders." These are not necessarily people who would become the CEO, but they are critical to the business - so they warrant regular promotion, salary review, and mobility. Digital experts, analytics experts, cyber security experts, and other in-demand technical people are in the same category.
Deliver Learning In The Flow Of Work
If you can't promote people regularly, remember that an enormous driver of retention is an employee's "ability to learn." Even when promotions are hard to find, people are engaged when they feel that "this job is really taking me someplace." This is a problem of creating a learning environment, building a growth mindset in leaders, and giving people a culture of learning regardless of their role.
While L&D has been a troubled profession for the last few years (we found a negative net-promoter rating in 2017), I"m happy to say that now it is relatively easy to address this. This is the year to invest in micro-learning, learning experience platforms, self-authored content, video-learning, and all the cultural aspects of learning we have been talking about for decades. And you can actually deliver learning "in the flow of work," making it more relevant and consumable than ever. (You can view my presentation on this below.)
Is HR ready for this? I believe so.
Over the last year I have been meeting with some of the most iconic companies in the world, and their HR teams are adapting. Today they are focused on career management, the employee experience, more innovative rewards programs, and all sorts of interesting learning, digital productivity and well-being strategies.
Let’s all enjoy the good times while they’re here. Yes this job market creates a lot of stress, but if you focus on the core of empowering, developing, and engaging people – your organization can thrive. The clouds are out on the horizon for now, so let’s enjoy the sun.
Five HR strategies for a hot economy.
1. Focus on employment brand.
Understand and study how candidates view your company ,and bring this information back to your CEO and top business leaders so you can push your management to improve culture, engagement, and the work environment. Today you can use Glassdoor, LinkedIn, your own engagement surveys, pulse surveys, stay interviews, anonymous surveys, and lots of other listening devices to know how you are perceived in the market. You should apply for "best places to work" awards wherever possible, which will also up your game and push you to make the work experience better.
2. Keep salaries and benefits current.
Right now I believe companies have to refresh their rewards programs every six months. Annually is just not fast enough. I’ve talked with companies that give employees reviews and raises semi-annually and even this may not be enough in some cases. We just completed research that shows that companies that revisit salaries and bonus more than once per year outperform those that only review compensation annually. And make sure you are transparent: a tremendous amount of compensation information is now public – so you should publish your salary benchmarks against peers, giving employees full disclosure about whether you are paying above or below average (with good justification of course).
3. Get a team focused on understanding the employee journey, and focus on the end to end employee experience.
This means everything from candidate to new hire to first day, first month, first quarter, first year, first promotion, and on. The concepts of design thinking are well understood now, so you need to use them to build a digital-enabled experience that helps people thrive throughout their career. The best place to start is with a high turnover employee group (ie. often first year retail employees) so you can get a good design thinking project under your belt. Then once you get good at it you can create employee journeys for various job transitions and look at ways to make them better. At Deloitte we call this "moments that matter."
4. Re-engineer your L&D strategy.
This year, 2018, is the year to adopt a micro-learning strategy, refresh your LMS and tools, and get behind the concepts of “learning in the flow of work.” I’ll be writing a lot more on this soon – but let me remind you, people leave companies when they feel they are “not learning.” You can fix this. More than 50% of the companies we recently surveyed told us they are increasing budget for L&D platforms. It's time. And by the way, start building a strategy for better career management tools too - this is the hottest new segment in HR technology and it will become your insurance for automation, AI, and job changes from the future of work.
5. Keep the CEO and senior leadership informed.
Get your analytics program in shape and make sure you know where skills, leadership, engagement, and retention gaps are high. Let the CEO know where talent is thin - he or she will really care. You will need their help to mobilize quickly if you need to hire more recruiters, invest in a new development program, or radically change job models to adapt. In times of competitive growth CEOs want to do everything they can to help, so take advantage of the opportunity. (Conference Board 2018 CEO study cited "lack of critical skills" as the #1 business challenge today.)
Bottom Line: It's time to adjust your HR strategies to deal with the competitive, skills-centric market ahead. Tune up your recruitment, focus on driving an inclusive and generationally diverse culture, and make sure you have your career management and learning on the front burner. Nobody knows how long this economic boom will last, but for now there's a war for talent, and we have to arm ourselves to deal with it.
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About the Author: Josh Bersin is the founder and Principal of Bersin by Deloitte, Deloitte Consulting LLP, a leading research and advisory firm focused on corporate leadership, talent, learning, and the intersection between work and life.
Josh is a published author on Forbes, a LinkedIn Influencer, and has appeared on Bloomberg, NPR, and the Wall Street Journal, and speaks at industry conferences and to corporate HR departments around the world.
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